Thursday, May 02, 2013

WORLD_ Syria presents tough choices for Obama

2 May 2013 Last updated at 12:02 GMT
BBC

Syria presents tough choices for Obama

By Jonathan Marcus BBC Diplomatic Correspondent




Barack Obama is seen as reluctant to get embroiled in military action in Syria


In acknowledging the likely use of chemical weapons in Syria, US President Barack Obama is nonetheless seeking to pursue a cautious path.


On the one hand he does not want to be stampeded into military action by more hawkish voices on Capitol Hill without conclusive and demonstrable evidence.

But equally he wants to send a strong message to the Syrian government in Damascus.

President Obama has spoken of the Pentagon preparing a range of options. Indeed there are a variety of things the Americans - with or without key allies - might do, but all involve varying degrees of risk and are by no means certain to alter the situation in Syria for the better.

The debate about the potential course of action in Syria has raged for months, with some arguing for a muscular intervention to topple the government and potentially end the fighting, while others have stressed the uncertainty of the factional in-fighting within the opposition and the limited ability of external actors - certainly Western external actors - to influence what kind of Syria emerges from the rubble of Bashar al-Assad's government.

But the arguments for intervention of some kind are growing; brought to a head by the reported use of chemical weapons. The fear is not just about the potential death toll if they are used more widely; the death toll from conventional combat in Syria is already bad enough.

There is serious concern about such weapons falling into the hands of jihadist groups or Hezbollah, President Assad's Shia allies in Lebanon. These arguments only reinforce fears that the longer the civil war goes on the greater the casualties and the growing likelihood that it might spill over into a wider regional conflagration.

So if action is being contemplated, what might the Obama administration do?



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