Trump’s Caucasus peace deal is a win for U.S.
And a warning to our enemies
COMMENTARY
By Hollie McKay - Thursday, November 13, 2025
A version of this story appeared in the daily Threat Status newsletter from The Washington Times. Click here to receive Threat Status delivered directly to your inbox each weekday.
OPINION:
Peace through strength isn’t a slogan. It’s working, and the proof lies in the South Caucasus.
On Oct. 21, Azerbaijani President Ilham Aliyev made a decision that could reshape the balance of power in one of the world’s most strategically vital crossroads: the region connecting Europe, Asia and the Middle East. During a visit to Kazakhstan, Mr. Aliyev overturned long-standing restrictions on trade and transit across Azerbaijan’s border with Armenia.
That same day, a shipment of Kazakh wheat passed through Azerbaijan into Armenia. It was a small but historic act that symbolized something once thought impossible: reconciliation after decades of war.
This move reinforces the Trump-brokered peace accords signed in August. It strengthens the Trump Route for International Peace and Prosperity, a trade and transport corridor linking Azerbaijan to its landlocked Nakhchivan Autonomous Republic and beyond. The TRIPP is more than infrastructure. It’s a geopolitical lifeline connecting pro-Western partners and giving the United States long-term influence in a region long dominated by Russia and Iran.
By normalizing commercial ties with Armenia, Mr. Aliyev has also defused one of the region’s most significant flash points: fears that Azerbaijan might forcibly seize a corridor through Armenia’s Syunik region. That means no war, no instability and the foundations of the kind of durable peace that President Trump promised but Washington’s foreign policy establishment never believed could come to pass.
Mr. Aliyev’s actions aren’t just about trade; they are also part of a broader strategy of realignment. Azerbaijan is signaling that its future lies with the United States and its allies, not with Moscow or Tehran. The results are already visible. On Oct. 13, at the invitation of Mr. Trump and Egyptian President Abdel Fattah el-Sissi, Mr. Aliyev attended the Sharm el-Sheikh summit, which brought an end to the Israel-Hamas war. Baku’s participation highlighted Azerbaijan’s growing role as a bridge between Muslim nations and the West and as a quiet but capable partner in Middle East diplomacy. It’s a tangible result of the Trump approach to peace through strength.
Azerbaijan is also one of Israel’s most valuable partners in the Muslim world and possesses the potential to become part of the Abraham Accords. The two nations have had three decades of deep defense cooperation and intelligence sharing. Israel has supplied military technology to Baku, while Azerbaijan has provided intelligence support to Israel. Moreover, despite being a Muslim-majority nation, Azerbaijan has consistently rejected extremism, proving that a country can embrace its Islamic identity and still be a trusted ally of the West. It’s precisely the kind of model Washington should reward.
That’s why the Trump administration’s restoration of Section 907 of the 1992 Freedom Support Act waiver was necessary and strategic. Section 907 restricts U.S. military aid to Azerbaijan, an outdated relic of post-Cold War politics that no longer reflects reality. After 9/11, the George W. Bush administration suspended Section 907 when Baku stepped forward to help the United States combat terrorism. In 2023, Congress, under pressure from the Armenian lobby, reinstated the restriction after renewed clashes in Nagorno-Karabakh. That reversal punished a loyal U.S. partner while rewarding Russian and Iranian influence.
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READ MORE: https://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2025/nov/13/trumps-caucasus-peace-deal-win-us/
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