WORLD_ SYRIA_ Syria is a Somalia-style failed state that has blown up in the West's face - former UN envoy

Syria is a Somalia-style failed state that has blown up in the West's face - former UN envoy

Western policymakers misread the Arab Spring and their failure to change policy is damning Syria to a decades-long ordeal as a failed state




Lakhdar Brahimi blames the spread of conflict on diplomatic failure Photo: LOUAI BESHARA/AFP/Getty Images

Damien McElroy
1:50PM BST 08 Jun 2014
The Telegraph


Syria has become a Somalia-style failed state where terror groups cannot be defeated without Western governments dropping failed policies and seeking the deployment of UN peacekeepers, the recently retired special envoy to the conflict, Lakhdar Brahimi, has warned.

Speaking to the German magazine Der Spiegel Mr Brahimi warned that the intractable conflict was spreading as a result of diplomatic failure. "It will be become another Somalia. It will not be divided, as many have predicted. It's going to be a failed state, with warlords all over the place," he said. "Unless there is a real, sustained effort to work out a political solution, there is a serious risk that the entire region will blow up."

President Bashar al-Assad's refusal to reliquinish power is fundamental to the outcome of the conflict and any attempt to end the civil war must take onboard this fact. "People have got it wrong every time," he said. "What is difficult to understand is that the early, mistaken assumptions have not been revised. On all sides, people still help the war effort instead of the peace effort, and it is making things worse.

"But the thing is they thought that the regime was going to fall easily - complete misconception. Syria has a state, it has an army, and it was assumed that it was going to fall just like Libya did," he added.

Mr Brahimi said a negotiated settlement between the government and parts of the opposition should pave the way for the deployment of tens of thousands of UN peace keepers to take the fight to al-Qaeda groups with an entrenched presence in Syria.


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"The idea was, and still is, for Bashar al-Assad to agree to become the kingmaker instead of staying on as president, an orderly transition with his participation to go to the new Syria," he said. "The UN has, I think, 20,000 or 30,000 soldiers that would be there to help the Syrians implement something they have agreed upon. And then you would need to face the ISIS, Jabhat al Nusra and (other radical groups).

"It doesn't look likely today or tomorrow, but this conflict has got to be resolved. And it will be at some point. The question is: How much killing and destruction are we going to have before that happens?"

Mr Brahimi warned that hundreds of British, French and German citizens fighting for al-Qaeda in Syria would see a backlash from the conflict in Europe. "There are several thousand non-Syrians. My goodness," he said. "These are your nationals that are training in Syria and that are part of ISIS, which believes that you have got to build an Islamic state all over the world."


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