OPINION
Trump’s Christmas Present: 4 Percent Growth
EJ Antoni, Ph.D. | Dec 31, 2025
The opinions expressed by columnists are their own and do not necessarily represent the views of Townhall.com.
Christmas came two days early for America this year when we learned that the economy grew at a 4.3 percent annualized pace from July through September, blowing past even the rosiest expectations. The tariff-induced crash predicted by countless “experts” has been replaced by rock-solid expansion.
According to the Bureau of Economic Analysis, consumers were the ones driving the acceleration in economic activity with private consumption growing at a 3.5 percent annualized rate. Not only is that faster than the previous three-month period, but it also exceeded growth in government purchases.
This is a marked change from the Biden era when a disproportionate amount of economic “growth” was coming from the public sector.As the government borrowed trillions of dollars to push spending into the stratosphere, it increased gross domestic product (GDP) without growing the real economy—the productive private sector.
This is now the first time in three years that consumer spending grew faster than government purchases for three consecutive quarters. And purchases by the federal government in particular shrank during the first nine months of 2025 at an annualized rate of 2.7 percent. It’s a complete reversal from the Biden administration when this category of government spending grew at 2.1 percent per annum.
And there’s more good news on the international trade front. The American economy is importing less and exporting more as domestic production increases. That’s a testament to the Trump administration’s fine-tuning of its tariff strategy, adapting to the economic realities facing the nation. Combine that with tax-and-regulatory reform along with record energy production and things are off to the races.
Although the GDP report showed investment was off slightly last quarter, that was largely due to businesses drawing down overstocked inventories. With the business tax reforms in the One Big Beautiful Bill Act kicking in, investment is poised to surge next year.
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READ MORE: https://townhall.com/columnists/ej-antoni/2025/12/31/trumps-christmas-present-4-percent-growth-n2668654
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