Tuesday, April 23, 2024

VIEWPOINT_ The Fallacy That Rules the World

THE EPOCH TIMES

The Fallacy That Rules the World


(Pictrider/Shutterstock)

By Jeffrey A. Tucker
4/23/2024 Updated: 4/23/2024

Commentary


Smart people know to avoid fallacies.

One of them is known as the fallacy of
post hoc ergo propter hoc. It’s Latin for: after this, therefore because of this.

The classic example concerns the rooster and the sunrise. Every morning before the sun comes up, the rooster does his crazy crowing routine, waking up everyone around. Shortly after, the light begins to appear on the horizon. If you knew nothing else, and you watched this happen over and over, you might conclude that the rooster is causing the sun to rise.

Of course this is testable. You could kill the rooster and see what happens. The sun still comes up. But wait just a moment. Just because this one rooster is dead, doesn’t mean that all roosters are gone. Some rooster somewhere is crowing and causing the sun to rise. So your little experiment doesn’t disprove the theory.

What a conundrum, right? If someone is convinced that a bird is controlling the sun, there is probably no way to convince him otherwise.

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READ MORE: https://www.theepochtimes.com/opinion/the-fallacy-that-rules-the-world-5635419?ea_src=frontpage&ea_med=opinion-1

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