Trump can’t just win in Iowa — he has to win huge, analysts say
By Susan Ferrechio and Seth McLaughlin - The Washington Times - Thursday, January 11, 2024
ANKENY, Iowa — Former President Donald Trump’s poll numbers in Iowa show him poised to win the first-in-the-nation contest Monday with more than 50% of the Republican vote, which would set a state record and propel him into the critical New Hampshire primary as the unbeatable leader in the presidential race.
The expectations for a landslide victory in Iowa, however, raise the threat that the former president could underperform with voters. That would weaken him ahead of the Jan. 23 primary in New Hampshire, where an ascending Nikki Haley has closed in on his once-gigantic lead.
“In Iowa, it’s all about exceeding expectations,” David Paleologos, director of the Suffolk University Political Research Center, told The Washington Times. “If voters are expecting Donald Trump to exceed 50% in Iowa, using the polling averages as a guide, and he falls short of that, many will be saying that his support is weaker and more fluid than it appears.”
Mr. Trump and his campaign team, aware of the expectation threat, are warning their base in Iowa not to be complacent.
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READ MORE: https://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2024/jan/11/donald-trump-cant-just-win-in-iowa-he-has-to-win-h/
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