Friday, April 10, 2020

WORLD_ DEADLY China CORONAVIRUS PANDEMIC_ COVID-19: Australia 'on cusp' of coronavirus dying out

NEWS.COM.AU

world  -  coronavirus  -  australia

COVID-19: Australia 'on cusp' of coronavirus dying out

Australia is close to the point at which the epidemic could die out in the community. But one restriction could be the final one lifted.

AAP
news.com.au

April 11, 2020 6:37am

Video  -  Image



The Deupty Chief Medical Officer Professor Kelly today said Australia is on the cusp of coronavirus dying out. Picture: Lukas Coch/AAP Source:AAP


A senior health official says Australia is on the "cusp" of seeing the coronavirus dying out locally but he warned if social distancing measures were relaxed the epidemic could yet explode.

Deputy chief medical officer Professor Paul Kelly says the reproductive rate has been somewhere between one and two – meaning every infected person infects between one and two others.

He also said Australia being an island was our advantage and pointed at travel bans being one of the final measures to be eased.

"Where you want to be is below one – so less than one other person being infected after a person themselves has the infection," Prof Kelly told reporters in Canberra on Friday.

"Once you get to that point the virus dies out or the epidemic dies out.


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READ MORE: https://www.news.com.au/world/coronavirus/australia/covid19-australia-on-cusp-of-coronavirus-dying-out/news-story/b0583e9f205a5f6df9e4219518a366e4



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Prof Kelly stressed "we're not at that stage yet" and he warned people needed to remain vigilant in the fight to flatten the curve of case numbers.

Without the social distancing measures currently in place, one positive person could lead to 400 other cases within a month, he said.


"That is the sort of explosive epidemic we've seen in other countries. We just cannot afford, at this stage, to be considering that happening."


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