OPINION_ Lew Olowski: Coronavirus worse than reported – here's how China is catching up to reality

FOX NEWS

OPINION
Published 5 hours ago


Lew Olowski: Coronavirus worse than reported – here's how China is catching up to reality

OPINION - By Lew Jan Olowski | Fox News




China reports explosive spike in new cases of coronavirus
Chinese officials say the jump comes down to the methodology used to diagnosed new cases; Benjamin Hall reports from London.



China’s novel coronavirus, COVID-19, has killed and infected more people than officially reported.

Consider the latest numbers. In one day, total reported infections and deaths increased 44 percent and 23 percent, respectively. But not “because of any change in the shape of the outbreak,” which is nonetheless growing near-exponentially. Rather, it was merely because “the government changed the criteria by which it tracks confirmed cases.”

The official tally has been an underestimate and is still catching up to reality. As of Saturday, more than 1,500 people had reportedly died of the virus, with more than 69,000 cases reported worldwide. About 99 percent of the cases have been reported in China.


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Even before the adjustment, circumstances suggested weeks ago that “the outbreak is spreading far beyond the official count of cases.”

Many causes contribute to this undercounting.


First, the prevailing diagnostic test for COVID-19 may be only 30 to 40 percent accurate. Some carriers who took the diagnostic test were falsely cleared and erroneously excluded from the official tally.

Second, the diagnostic test itself is scarce. Tests are rationed for the most obviously symptomatic patients. But carriers can be asymptomatic. And they can be contagious before they even show signs of infection.

Third, Chinese hospitals have been overwhelmed with patients. Some people were turned away at the door. Others waited in day-long triage. The sickest may have been too weak to even attempt a hospital visit. Others were deterred from treatment by the wait times and shortages, so they self-quarantined. Yet only those who obtained medical treatment and also tested positive for the virus were included in the official tally.

Fourth, ...

READ MORE: https://www.foxnews.com/opinion/lew-olowski-coronavirus-worse-than-reported-heres-how-china-is-making-the-situation-worse

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In order for China's ruling Communist Party to have responded to COVID-19 this drastically, the death toll would first have had to exceed local officials’ capacity to cover it up, and then also convinced the nation’s top officials that it represents an existential threat.

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