WORLD_ Merkel, Already Wobbling, Faces Fresh Blow in Historical Stronghold

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Merkel, Already Wobbling, Faces Fresh Blow in Historical Stronghold

Projected election losses in the prosperous regions of Bavaria and Hesse risk destabilizing chancellor’s fragile government and jeopardizing her leadership


Markus Soeder, left, the top Bavarian candidate of the conservative Christian Social Union party for regional elections on Sunday in Munich last month. The party is expecting a setback. Right, Munich's Mayor Dieter Reiter. Photo: peter kneffel/Agence France-Presse/Getty Images


39 COMMENTS
By Bojan Pancevski
Updated Oct. 12, 2018 11:36 a.m. ET


BERLIN—Elections in two of Germany’s most prosperous regions are likely to diminish Chancellor Angela Merkel’s conservative bloc and further destabilize her fragile government, potentially even jeopardizing her leadership.

The first vote takes place on Sunday in Bavaria, home to BMW AG , Siemens AG and Adidas AG, where polls show the conservative Christian Social Union winning just 33% of the vote. That would be the party’s worst result since 1950 and force it to seek a coalition partner to stay in power, only the second time it would have to do so since 1962.

Ms. Merkel’s Christian Democratic Union party also appears likely to take a beating in Hesse, home to Germany’s financial capital in Frankfurt, where an Oct. 28 vote will elect a new parliament. Polls show the CDU taking 29%, down from the 38.3% it won in 2013, possibly losing control of the state.

The lessons for Germany’s mainstream parties are unclear. Unemployment is low and economic growth is stable. Crime, while down, is widely publicized in media reports. Discontent with Ms. Merkel’s immigration policies is undoubtedly the key factor. But there’s also an intangible factor: fatigue with the parties that have shared power for decades, and with Ms. Merkel’s nearly 14 years on top.



Chancellor Angela Merkel’s conservative bloc has just 26% national support, a new poll shows. Photo: Carsten Rehder/Zuma Press

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READ MORE: https://www.wsj.com/articles/german-voters-set-to-punish-merkels-conservative-bloc-1539336600


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