Three important takeaways from the election
Trump improved his performance, voters prioritized economy and immigration and questions about 2020 remain
COMMENTARY
By Michael McKenna - Friday, November 8, 2024
OPINION:
As always, the commentariat has expended a lot of intellectual firepower examining the election results from every possible angle. As usual, most of that has been a waste of time.
Let’s make it easy and focus on three things.
First, President-elect Donald Trump improved his performance among young voters, among independent voters and among Hispanics (by 14 percentage points, and at least 2 points better than President George W. Bush in 2004). He won the suburbs by 4 points, the same as 2016; and he continued to erode support for the Democrats among the working class.
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READ MORE: https://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2024/nov/8/three-important-takeaways-election/
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The third thing about the election results that is immediately obvious — and that no one seems to be talking about — is that there were about 142 million voters this year, compared with about 158 million voters in 2020. That’s very odd. In 2020, turnout as a percentage of voting age population was about 67%; this year, it was more like 54%.
There’s no real reason for that. If anything, turnout in 2020, as the COVID-19 pandemic took hold, should have been lower. It’s not just this year. In 2016, turnout (137 million) as a percentage of the voting age population was 55%. In 2012, turnout (129 million) as a percentage of voting age population was 54%. In fact, since 1932, there has only been one election (the ill-fated and controversial election of 1960) in which turnout was as high as the pandemic election of 2020.
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I’m not a big believer that the 2020 election was stolen, but the macro numbers are divergent enough from the historical trend line to make any reasonable person wonder whether there should be some closer examination of that election.
• Michael McKenna is a contributing editor at The Washington Times.
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