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TIPSHEET
New Poll of Florida Hispanics: Another Warning Sign for Democrats
Guy Benson | October 02, 2024 2:05 PM
AP Photo/Rebecca Blackwell
We'll get to the brand new Florida numbers below, but first, some context: On Monday, we wrote about the new NBC/Telemundo national poll of Hispanic voters, which showed Donald Trump drastically closing Democrats' gap among Latinos. In 2012, Barack Obama won Hispanics by 44 points. Four years later, Hillary Clinton carried the demographic by 38 points. By 2020, the margin fell to 33 points -- an 11-point erosion from 2012, but still a dramatic lead. According to the fresh survey data, Kamala Harris currently leads Donald Trump by just 14 points among Hispanic voters, a 30-point drop from Obama's re-election romp. This much closer margin is now in the ballpark of President George W. Bush's strong performance with Latinos (44 percent support) that boosted him to a fairly decisive re-election victory in 2004. Per the NBC/Telemundo data, Trump has pulled into an exact tie with Harris among Hispanic men under the age of 50.
He has also improved notably over Biden's 2020 showing with the other demographic polled -- particularly the youngest (18-34 years old) Latino voters:
TIPSHEET
New Poll of Florida Hispanics: Another Warning Sign for Democrats
Guy Benson | October 02, 2024 2:05 PM
We'll get to the brand new Florida numbers below, but first, some context: On Monday, we wrote about the new NBC/Telemundo national poll of Hispanic voters, which showed Donald Trump drastically closing Democrats' gap among Latinos. In 2012, Barack Obama won Hispanics by 44 points. Four years later, Hillary Clinton carried the demographic by 38 points. By 2020, the margin fell to 33 points -- an 11-point erosion from 2012, but still a dramatic lead. According to the fresh survey data, Kamala Harris currently leads Donald Trump by just 14 points among Hispanic voters, a 30-point drop from Obama's re-election romp. This much closer margin is now in the ballpark of President George W. Bush's strong performance with Latinos (44 percent support) that boosted him to a fairly decisive re-election victory in 2004. Per the NBC/Telemundo data, Trump has pulled into an exact tie with Harris among Hispanic men under the age of 50.
He has also improved notably over Biden's 2020 showing with the other demographic polled -- particularly the youngest (18-34 years old) Latino voters:
What's behind this Latino-voter erosion for Democrats? Men and younger Latinos pic.twitter.com/AhsLLHU6wD
— Mark Murray (@mmurraypolitics) September 29, 2024
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READ MORE: https://townhall.com/tipsheet/guybenson/2024/10/02/new-poll-of-florida-hispanics-another-warning-sign-for-democrats-n2645563
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