US_ Not a toss-up: Polling guru Nate Silver gives Trump 66% chance of winning 2024 race

THE WASHINGTON TIMES

Not a toss-up: Polling guru Nate Silver gives Trump 66% chance of winning 2024 race

Nate Silver sits on the stairs at Allegro hotel in downtown Chicago, Friday, Nov. 9, 2012. The 34-year-old statistician, unabashed numbers geek, author and creator of the much-read FiveThirtyEight blog at The New York Times, correctly predicted the presidential winner … more >

By Valerie Richardson - The Washington Times - Wednesday, June 26, 2024


Election prognosticator Nate Silver is no fan of Donald Trump, but he predicts that the former president will win the November election against President Biden, and what’s more, it won’t be particularly close.

In his first 2024 presidential election model, the political-statistics guru gave the presumptive Republican nominee a 65.7% chance of winning the Electoral College vote versus 33.7% for the Democrat Biden.

“The model gives Trump a 66 percent chance of winning the Electoral College, and Biden a 34 percent chance,” Mr. Silver said Thursday on the Silver Bulletin, his Substack account.

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READ MORE: https://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2024/jun/26/nate-silver-gives-donald-trump-66-chance-beating-j/

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